I Should be Studying But...
Of course choosing my picks on which way the swing states will swing is WAY more important than studying to GRADUATE! I do not think that this election is going to be as close as people think. Popular vote will be 52% Bush, 48% Kerry.
As far as the individual swing states go, here they are:
Colorado - Bush
Florida - Bush
Iowa - Bush
Maine - Kerry
Michigan - Kerry (too bad)
Minnesota - Bush
Nevada - Bush
New Hampshire - Kerry
New Jersey - Bush (don't forget 9-11)
New Mexico - Bush
Ohio - Bush
Oregon - Kerry
Pennsylvania - Bush
West Virginia - Bush
Wisconsin - Bush
The Final Results of the Electoral College will be:
Bush 346 - Kerry 192
I believe that Bush could even afford to lose Ohio and Florida and still win the election. Those Democratic lawyers sitting around waiting to challenge the results are going to look pretty darn stupid. It's going to be a blow out. I know I'm going out on a limb here, but I'll stand by this and tomorrow night (or sometime after that) I'll either be writing a retraction or saying "I told you so!"
Happy Election Day!
Comments
#1--346 Electoral Votes? Sorry, Shira. Dream on.
#2--I hate to remind you that this sort of predicting involves math and your other favorite class-research analysis.
#3--Even if Bush loses Florida and Ohio, you have him winning the election because he's going to win Minnesota (Kerry 51-45, c.f. Reuters); PA (Kerry 50-46, c.f. Zogby); and NJ (Kerry 53-41, c.f. Rasmussen).
#4--Four polls, plus you makes 5 indicates that Ohio is going back over to the red. AND Bush is gaining. Phew! I thought I'd have to move for a moment there.
#5--We should both be studying.
#6--The workers who answer the phone at the Board of Elections in Franklin County, Ohio are idiots. Plus, it took me a full hour and 20 minutes to vote this morning.
Posted by: Batya | November 2, 2004 10:35 AM
I guess he's got it. Whatever. This isn't about one election, or one President - it's all about the long term.
I did go look at your JewsForGeorge website and all that, and I guess I do agree that the Republicans seem to have the same SHORT-TERM goals that Jewish people do. They'll support Israel, give the US a reputation as tough ass-kickers who don't take any crap from radical Islam.... But ... do they have the same LONG-TERM goals? What good is all this if 5, 10, 20 years down the line "Praise Jesus" becomes the law? How will we feel then?
So just something to think about for the next one... what is good for the Jews now, and what is good for us in the long term?
Posted by: Morris | November 3, 2004 10:13 AM